20K
Pick the podium
Locks Sat, Jan 2, 10:00 AMPicks for this race are locked.
Preview
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo is the favourite in Les Rousses with a 35% chance of winning and 76% of finishing on the podium. The main challengers are Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget (15%) and Harald Østberg Amundsen (12%). Best North American and British hope: Gus Schumacher, with a 3.2% podium chance and an expected place of 21. William Poromaa won the last race of this kind here, in 2025.
XC Week forecast
Forecast →| # | Athlete | Nation | Win | Podium | Top 10 | Exp. place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johannes Høsflot Klæbo |  NOR | 35% | 76% | 100% | 2.6 |
| 2 | Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget | NOR | 15% | 46% | 96% | 4.4 |
| 3 | Harald Østberg Amundsen | NOR | 12% | 39% | 93% | 5.0 |
| 4 | Andreas Fjorden Ree | NOR | 4.9% | 18% | 71% | 8.3 |
| 5 | Emil Iversen | NOR | 4.4% | 16% | 64% | 9.2 |
| 6 | Savelii Korostelev |  AIN | 3.1% | 11% | 52% | 11.0 |
| 7 | Iivo Niskanen |  FIN | 2.8% | 9.7% | 47% | 11.9 |
| 8 | Mattis Stenshagen | NOR | 2.7% | 9% | 44% | 12.4 |
| 9 | Alexander Bolshunov | AIN | 2.5% | 8.7% | 43% | 12.8 |
| 10 | Didrik Tønseth | NOR | 1.3% | 4.7% | 24% | 18.1 |
| 11 | Erik Valnes | NOR | 1% | 4.1% | 21% | 19.3 |
| 12 | Simen Hegstad Krüger | NOR | 0.9% | 3.7% | 21% | 19.2 |
| 13 | Håvard Moseby | NOR | 0.9% | 3.4% | 20% | 20.2 |
| 14 | Gus Schumacher |  USA | 0.8% | 3.2% | 18% | 21.4 |
| 15 | Jan Thomas Jenssen | NOR | 0.8% | 2.8% | 16% | 22.4 |
| 16 | Théo Schely |  FRA | 0.8% | 2.9% | 16% | 22.7 |
| 17 | Iver Tildheim Andersen | NOR | 0.8% | 3.1% | 18% | 21.1 |
| 18 | Martin Kirkeberg Mørk | NOR | 0.7% | 3% | 19% | 20.4 |
| 19 | Hugo Lapalus | FRA | 0.6% | 2.3% | 14% | 24.1 |
| 20 | Lars Heggen | NOR | 0.6% | 2% | 12% | 25.4 |
| 21 | Arsi Ruuskanen | FIN | 0.6% | 2.2% | 13% | 25.0 |
| 22 | Davide Graz |  ITA | 0.5% | 1.7% | 9.9% | 28.0 |
| 23 | Einar Hedegart | NOR | <1% | 2.2% | 14% | 24.2 |
| 24 | Elia Barp | ITA | <1% | 2.1% | 14% | 24.5 |
| 25 | Benjamin Moser |  AUT | <1% | 1.3% | 8.5% | 29.6 |
| 26 | Edvard Sandvik | NOR | <1% | 1.5% | 8.2% | 30.4 |
| 27 | Joe Davies |  GBR | <1% | 1.2% | 7.4% | 31.3 |
| 28 | William Poromaa |  SWE | <1% | 1.2% | 6.8% | 33.1 |
| 29 | Victor Lovera | FRA | <1% | 0.8% | 4.1% | 38.8 |
| 30 | Andrew Musgrave | GBR | <1% | 1.2% | 7.7% | 30.6 |
10,000 simulated races from XC Rating, adjusted for technique and start format. Assumes everyone starts.
Results
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