Les Rousses20 km · Mass start · Classic

Saturday, January 2, 2027 · Season 2026/27

Pick the podium

Locks Sat, Jan 2, 10:00 AM

Think you know better than the model? Make your pick before the start.

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Preview

Heidi Weng is the favourite in Les Rousses with a 27% chance of winning and 65% of finishing on the podium. The main challengers are Astrid Øyre Slind (13%) and Frida Karlsson (13%). Best North American and British hope: Alison Mackie, with a 0.5% podium chance and an expected place of 31. Frida Karlsson won the last race of this kind here, in 2025.

XC Week forecast

Forecast →

#	Athlete	Nation	Win	Podium	Top 10	Exp. place
1	Heidi Weng	NOR	27%	65%	100%	3.1
2	Astrid Øyre Slind	NOR	13%	40%	96%	4.8
3	Frida Karlsson	SWE	13%	40%	95%	4.8
4	Jonna Sundling	SWE	11%	35%	93%	5.2
5	Ebba Andersson	SWE	8.6%	28%	88%	6.1
6	Linn Svahn	SWE	4.4%	15%	67%	8.7
7	Teresa Stadlober	AUT	3.4%	13%	61%	9.3
8	Moa Ilar	SWE	2.1%	7.1%	40%	12.5
9	Johanna Matintalo	FIN	2%	6%	35%	13.5
10	Nadja Kälin	SUI	1.9%	6.5%	37%	13.0
11	Kristin Austgulen Fosnæs	NOR	1.8%	6.4%	37%	13.0
12	Dariya Nepryaeva	AIN	1.3%	4.9%	28%	15.2
13	Karoline Simpson-Larsen	NOR	0.9%	2.8%	16%	19.1
14	Emma Ribom	SWE	0.8%	3.1%	22%	16.9
15	Nora Sanness	NOR	0.8%	2.6%	18%	18.5
16	Kerttu Niskanen	FIN	0.6%	2.5%	16%	19.8
17	Julie Bjervig Drivenes	NOR	0.6%	2.2%	14%	20.6
18	Jasmi Joensuu	FIN	<1%	1.4%	9.2%	24.4
19	Karoline Grøtting	NOR	<1%	1.5%	9.1%	24.6
20	Anne Kjersti Kalvå	NOR	<1%	1%	6.2%	28.7
21	Pia Fink	GER	<1%	1.5%	8.9%	24.7
22	Katharina Hennig	GER	<1%	1.1%	8.2%	25.3
23	Moa Lundgren	SWE	<1%	1.3%	7.9%	26.0
24	Maja Dahlqvist	SWE	<1%	1%	7.4%	26.7
25	Helen Hoffmann	GER	<1%	0.9%	6.2%	28.1
26	Kateřina Janatová	CZE	<1%	0.8%	4.6%	31.7
27	Alison Mackie	CAN	<1%	0.5%	4.6%	31.1
28	Anja Weber	SUI	<1%	<1%	3.9%	33.4
29	Eva Ingebrigtsen	NOR	<1%	0.6%	4.7%	30.7
30	Tatiana Sorina	AIN	<1%	0.5%	3.6%	33.6

10,000 simulated races from XC Rating, adjusted for technique and start format. Assumes everyone starts.

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