20K
Pick the podium
Locks Sun, Dec 6, 10:00 AMPicks for this race are locked.
Preview
Heidi Weng is the favourite in Trondheim with a 31% chance of winning and 70% of finishing on the podium. The main challengers are Frida Karlsson (12%) and Jonna Sundling (12%). Best North American and British hope: Alison Mackie, with a 0.7% podium chance and an expected place of 32. Jessie Diggins won the last race of this kind here, in 2025.
XC Week forecast
Forecast →| # | Athlete | Nation | Win | Podium | Top 10 | Exp. place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heidi Weng |  NOR | 31% | 70% | 100% | 2.8 |
| 2 | Frida Karlsson |  SWE | 12% | 38% | 95% | 4.9 |
| 3 | Jonna Sundling | SWE | 12% | 36% | 94% | 5.1 |
| 4 | Astrid Øyre Slind | NOR | 12% | 35% | 93% | 5.2 |
| 5 | Ebba Andersson | SWE | 10% | 33% | 93% | 5.4 |
| 6 | Teresa Stadlober |  AUT | 3.5% | 12% | 61% | 9.5 |
| 7 | Linn Svahn | SWE | 3.1% | 11% | 57% | 10.0 |
| 8 | Kristin Austgulen Fosnæs | NOR | 2.2% | 7.7% | 43% | 12.1 |
| 9 | Moa Ilar | SWE | 1.8% | 6.4% | 36% | 13.4 |
| 10 | Nadja Kälin |  SUI | 1.7% | 5.8% | 35% | 13.6 |
| 11 | Emma Ribom | SWE | 1.3% | 4.1% | 25% | 16.1 |
| 12 | Johanna Matintalo |  FIN | 1.1% | 4.2% | 26% | 15.9 |
| 13 | Nora Sanness | NOR | 1% | 3.8% | 23% | 17.0 |
| 14 | Karoline Simpson-Larsen | NOR | 0.9% | 2.9% | 20% | 18.4 |
| 15 | Kerttu Niskanen | FIN | 0.7% | 2.7% | 18% | 18.7 |
| 16 | Dariya Nepryaeva |  AIN | 0.6% | 2.3% | 16% | 20.0 |
| 17 | Pia Fink |  GER | 0.6% | 2.2% | 14% | 21.4 |
| 18 | Julie Bjervig Drivenes | NOR | 0.6% | 2.2% | 14% | 21.4 |
| 19 | Katharina Hennig | GER | <1% | 1.6% | 9.5% | 25.1 |
| 20 | Anne Kjersti Kalvå | NOR | <1% | 1.7% | 11% | 23.4 |
| 21 | Helen Hoffmann | GER | <1% | 1% | 7.3% | 27.5 |
| 22 | Maja Dahlqvist | SWE | <1% | 1.2% | 8.1% | 25.7 |
| 23 | Kateřina Janatová |  CZE | <1% | 0.9% | 6.7% | 28.4 |
| 24 | Jasmi Joensuu | FIN | <1% | 0.8% | 5.1% | 31.1 |
| 25 | Natalia Terenteva | AIN | <1% | 0.8% | 4.7% | 32.0 |
| 26 | Eva Ingebrigtsen | NOR | <1% | 0.5% | 4.9% | 32.2 |
| 27 | Lotta Udnes Weng | NOR | <1% | 0.7% | 5.1% | 30.8 |
| 28 | Silje Øyre Slind | NOR | <1% | 0.6% | 3.4% | 35.8 |
| 29 | Moa Lundgren | SWE | <1% | 0.9% | 6.5% | 28.3 |
| 30 | Alison Mackie |  CAN | <1% | 0.7% | 4.8% | 32.2 |
10,000 simulated races from XC Rating, adjusted for technique and start format. Assumes everyone starts.
Results
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