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Pick the podium
Locks Sat, Dec 5, 10:00 AMPicks for this race are locked.
Preview
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo is the favourite in Trondheim with a 73% chance of winning and 99% of finishing on the podium. The main challengers are Erik Valnes (6%) and Harald Østberg Amundsen (2.6%). Best North American and British hope: Ben Ogden, with a 9.3% podium chance and an expected place of 13. Johannes Høsflot Klæbo won the last race of this kind here, in 2025.
XC Week forecast
Forecast →| # | Athlete | Nation | Win | Podium | Top 10 | Exp. place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johannes Høsflot Klæbo | 73% | 99% | 100% | 1.4 | |
| 2 | Erik Valnes | 6% | 41% | 94% | 4.9 | |
| 3 | Harald Østberg Amundsen | 2.6% | 19% | 73% | 8.0 | |
| 4 | Even Northug | 2.5% | 18% | 68% | 8.7 | |
| 5 | Edvin Anger | 2.4% | 19% | 73% | 8.1 | |
| 6 | Lucas Chanavat | 1.2% | 9.2% | 45% | 12.8 | |
| 7 | Ben Ogden | 0.9% | 9.3% | 46% | 12.6 | |
| 8 | Oskar Opstad Vike | 0.8% | 6.3% | 35% | 15.0 | |
| 9 | Valerio Grond | 0.8% | 4.7% | 27% | 18.1 | |
| 10 | Jules Chappaz | 0.7% | 5.1% | 28% | 17.5 | |
| 11 | Lars Heggen | 0.6% | 4.9% | 28% | 17.5 | |
| 12 | Gus Schumacher | 0.5% | 3% | 17% | 23.1 | |
| 13 | Jiří Tuž | 0.5% | 3.6% | 20% | 21.4 | |
| 14 | Joni Mäki | <1% | 3.6% | 21% | 20.7 | |
| 15 | Anton Grahn | <1% | 2.9% | 16% | 23.2 | |
| 16 | Harald Astrup Arnesen | <1% | 3% | 17% | 23.2 | |
| 17 | Jan Stölben | <1% | 2.7% | 15% | 25.2 | |
| 18 | Davide Graz | <1% | 2.1% | 12% | 28.1 | |
| 19 | Lauri Vuorinen | <1% | 2.3% | 12% | 27.6 | |
| 20 | Ansgar Evensen | <1% | 2.3% | 13% | 26.6 | |
| 21 | Martino Carollo | <1% | 2.3% | 13% | 26.3 | |
| 22 | George Ersson | <1% | 2% | 13% | 26.8 | |
| 23 | Benjamin Moser | <1% | 1.6% | 8.9% | 31.5 | |
| 24 | Simone Mocellini | <1% | 1.3% | 7.2% | 33.9 | |
| 25 | Janik Riebli | <1% | 1.7% | 10% | 30.0 | |
| 26 | JC Schoonmaker | <1% | 1.5% | 8.3% | 32.6 | |
| 27 | Ondřej Černý | <1% | 1.4% | 9.1% | 31.1 | |
| 28 | Jack Young | <1% | 1.4% | 9.6% | 30.4 | |
| 29 | Aleksander Elde Holmboe | <1% | 1.5% | 8.1% | 32.8 | |
| 30 | Alvar Myhlback | <1% | 1.5% | 8.6% | 31.7 |
10,000 simulated races from XC Rating, adjusted for technique and start format. Assumes everyone starts.
Results
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