XC
Pick the podium
Locks Fri, Jan 1, 10:00 AMPicks for this race are locked.
Preview
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo is the favourite in FIS Tour de Ski with a 35% chance of winning and 76% of finishing on the podium. The main challengers are Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget (16%) and Harald Østberg Amundsen (16%). Best North American and British hope: Gus Schumacher, with a 2.8% podium chance and an expected place of 22. Harald Østberg Amundsen won the last race of this kind here, in 2024.
XC Week forecast
Forecast →| # | Athlete | Nation | Win | Podium | Top 10 | Exp. place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johannes Høsflot Klæbo |  NOR | 35% | 76% | 100% | 2.6 |
| 2 | Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget | NOR | 16% | 49% | 97% | 4.1 |
| 3 | Harald Østberg Amundsen | NOR | 16% | 47% | 97% | 4.2 |
| 4 | Andreas Fjorden Ree | NOR | 3.5% | 13% | 58% | 10.1 |
| 5 | Emil Iversen | NOR | 3.1% | 12% | 56% | 10.4 |
| 6 | Iivo Niskanen |  FIN | 2.8% | 10% | 51% | 11.2 |
| 7 | Alexander Bolshunov |  AIN | 2.6% | 9% | 47% | 12.0 |
| 8 | Mattis Stenshagen | NOR | 2.4% | 8.9% | 44% | 12.5 |
| 9 | Didrik Tønseth | NOR | 1.7% | 6.3% | 36% | 14.7 |
| 10 | Simen Hegstad Krüger | NOR | 1.6% | 6.7% | 37% | 14.2 |
| 11 | Hugo Lapalus |  FRA | 1.2% | 4.3% | 24% | 18.2 |
| 12 | Iver Tildheim Andersen | NOR | 1.1% | 4.3% | 26% | 17.7 |
| 13 | Erik Valnes | NOR | 0.9% | 4% | 24% | 18.4 |
| 14 | Håvard Moseby | NOR | 0.9% | 3.6% | 20% | 20.2 |
| 15 | Jan Thomas Jenssen | NOR | 0.7% | 3.1% | 18% | 21.1 |
| 16 | Savelii Korostelev | AIN | 0.7% | 2.8% | 17% | 22.2 |
| 17 | Gus Schumacher |  USA | 0.7% | 2.8% | 17% | 22.0 |
| 18 | Martin Kirkeberg Mørk | NOR | 0.6% | 2.8% | 16% | 22.5 |
| 19 | William Poromaa |  SWE | 0.6% | 2.1% | 13% | 24.8 |
| 20 | Einar Hedegart | NOR | <1% | 1.6% | 9.9% | 28.3 |
| 21 | Arsi Ruuskanen | FIN | <1% | 1.8% | 12% | 26.0 |
| 22 | Andrew Musgrave |  GBR | <1% | 1.8% | 11% | 27.8 |
| 23 | Davide Graz |  ITA | <1% | 1.6% | 8.7% | 30.1 |
| 24 | Elia Barp | ITA | <1% | 1.8% | 12% | 26.0 |
| 25 | Théo Schely | FRA | <1% | 1.5% | 9.6% | 28.7 |
| 26 | Michal Novák |  CZE | <1% | 1.4% | 8.3% | 29.9 |
| 27 | Mathis Desloges | FRA | <1% | 1.3% | 7.8% | 31.2 |
| 28 | Edvard Sandvik | NOR | <1% | 1.2% | 7% | 32.8 |
| 29 | Lars Heggen | NOR | <1% | 1.2% | 7.8% | 31.9 |
| 30 | Mika Vermeulen |  AUT | <1% | 0.9% | 5.4% | 37.1 |
10,000 simulated races from XC Rating, adjusted for technique and start format. Assumes everyone starts.
Results
Upcoming