Davos5 km · Mass start · Free

Sunday, December 13, 2026 · Season 2026/27

Pick the podium

Locks Sun, Dec 13, 10:00 AM

Think you know better than the model? Make your pick before the start.

123

Preview

Johannes Høsflot Klæbo is the favourite in Davos with a 29% chance of winning and 69% of finishing on the podium. The main challengers are Harald Østberg Amundsen (17%) and Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget (13%). Best North American and British hope: Gus Schumacher, with a 2.4% podium chance and an expected place of 24.

XC Week forecast

Forecast →

#	Athlete	Nation	Win	Podium	Top 10	Exp. place
1	Johannes Høsflot Klæbo	NOR	29%	69%	100%	3.0
2	Harald Østberg Amundsen	NOR	17%	50%	97%	4.2
3	Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget	NOR	13%	39%	93%	5.0
4	Andreas Fjorden Ree	NOR	5.6%	19%	70%	8.4
5	Emil Iversen	NOR	4.4%	16%	62%	9.4
6	Mattis Stenshagen	NOR	2.4%	8.3%	41%	13.4
7	Alexander Bolshunov	AIN	2.4%	8.2%	40%	13.5
8	Savelii Korostelev	AIN	2.2%	7.5%	37%	14.2
9	Einar Hedegart	NOR	1.9%	6.6%	34%	15.3
10	Simen Hegstad Krüger	NOR	1.7%	5.3%	28%	16.9
11	Iivo Niskanen	FIN	1.4%	4.3%	24%	18.7
12	Didrik Tønseth	NOR	1.3%	4.8%	24%	18.6
13	Iver Tildheim Andersen	NOR	1.1%	4.3%	23%	19.4
14	Martin Kirkeberg Mørk	NOR	1.1%	3.9%	22%	19.7
15	Håvard Moseby	NOR	1.1%	3.8%	20%	20.3
16	Jan Thomas Jenssen	NOR	0.9%	3.1%	16%	23.2
17	Lars Heggen	NOR	0.8%	2.5%	13%	25.4
18	Gus Schumacher	USA	0.7%	2.4%	14%	24.1
19	Hugo Lapalus	FRA	0.7%	2.5%	15%	24.2
20	Victor Lovera	FRA	0.7%	2.4%	12%	26.2
21	Joe Davies	GBR	0.6%	2.4%	13%	25.9
22	Davide Graz	ITA	0.6%	2.6%	15%	23.4
23	Erik Valnes	NOR	0.5%	1.9%	11%	27.6
24	Benjamin Moser	AUT	0.5%	2.2%	12%	26.6
25	Elia Barp	ITA	0.5%	1.9%	10%	28.3
26	Théo Schely	FRA	<1%	1.6%	9.3%	29.4
27	Andrew Musgrave	GBR	<1%	1.5%	8.2%	31.1
28	Michal Novák	CZE	<1%	1.5%	9.1%	30.0
29	Arsi Ruuskanen	FIN	<1%	1.4%	8.3%	30.4
30	Edvard Sandvik	NOR	<1%	1.6%	8.7%	30.8

10,000 simulated races from XC Rating, adjusted for technique and start format. Assumes everyone starts.

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