Davos5 km · Mass start · Free

Sunday, December 13, 2026 · Season 2026/27

Pick the podium

Locks Sun, Dec 13, 10:00 AM

Think you know better than the model? Make your pick before the start.

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Preview

Heidi Weng is the favourite in Davos with a 32% chance of winning and 72% of finishing on the podium. The main challengers are Jonna Sundling (14%) and Astrid Øyre Slind (11%). Best North American and British hope: Alison Mackie, with a 1.3% podium chance and an expected place of 27.

XC Week forecast

Forecast →

#	Athlete	Nation	Win	Podium	Top 10	Exp. place
1	Heidi Weng	NOR	32%	72%	100%	2.7
2	Jonna Sundling	SWE	14%	44%	96%	4.5
3	Astrid Øyre Slind	NOR	11%	34%	91%	5.5
4	Frida Karlsson	SWE	9.5%	30%	89%	5.9
5	Ebba Andersson	SWE	7.6%	26%	86%	6.3
6	Linn Svahn	SWE	3.3%	11%	53%	10.6
7	Teresa Stadlober	AUT	3%	10%	50%	11.1
8	Kristin Austgulen Fosnæs	NOR	2.3%	7.9%	45%	11.9
9	Nadja Kälin	SUI	2.2%	8.3%	43%	12.1
10	Moa Ilar	SWE	1.7%	5.5%	31%	14.7
11	Emma Ribom	SWE	1.4%	4.6%	26%	16.1
12	Karoline Simpson-Larsen	NOR	1.4%	4.6%	26%	16.0
13	Nora Sanness	NOR	1.2%	4.5%	28%	15.7
14	Dariya Nepryaeva	AIN	1%	4.4%	26%	16.2
15	Julie Bjervig Drivenes	NOR	0.8%	2.8%	17%	19.6
16	Johanna Matintalo	FIN	0.7%	2.6%	16%	20.6
17	Pia Fink	GER	0.7%	2.5%	15%	21.2
18	Karoline Grøtting	NOR	0.6%	2%	12%	23.5
19	Anne Kjersti Kalvå	NOR	<1%	1.6%	9.4%	25.0
20	Maja Dahlqvist	SWE	<1%	1.6%	9.9%	25.1
21	Alison Mackie	CAN	<1%	1.3%	8.3%	26.7
22	Moa Lundgren	SWE	<1%	1%	6.6%	29.4
23	Kerttu Niskanen	FIN	<1%	1.4%	8.5%	27.2
24	Léonie Perry	FRA	<1%	1.1%	7.2%	28.8
25	Patrīcija Eiduka	LAT	<1%	1%	6.3%	30.2
26	Tatiana Sorina	AIN	<1%	0.9%	5.2%	32.1
27	Helen Hoffmann	GER	<1%	1.1%	7.3%	28.1
28	Kateřina Janatová	CZE	<1%	1%	6.6%	28.8
29	Eva Ingebrigtsen	NOR	<1%	1.2%	6.4%	29.9
30	Silje Øyre Slind	NOR	<1%	0.6%	3.7%	36.1

10,000 simulated races from XC Rating, adjusted for technique and start format. Assumes everyone starts.

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